Nothing Ever Happens: February
Resolved: Something · Feb 6, 2026
24 hours before close (Feb 5, 2026, 03:11 UTC), the market's favorite was Nothing at 54% — it lost. $90K traded over the life of the market. Resolution source: the rules below.
| Outcome | Odds 24h before close | Settled |
|---|---|---|
| Something | 46% | Won · 100% |
| Nothing | 54% | 0% |
Resolution rules (source: Polymarket)
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - US strikes Iran - Israel strikes Iran - Gov Shutdown for 10+ days - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - André Ventura wins Portugal Presidential Election - LDP does not win most seats in Japan General Election - Gold (GC) hits ↑ $8,000 - Bitcoin hits ↓ 60,000 - Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran - Insurrection Act invoked Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_Feb.pdf