Tech & AI · 7 markets
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
Vol total$326K
Vol 24h$537
Liquidity$18K
Resolves134d
Outcomes · most likely first
🎯
200 or more
$106K vol·-1%·7d
4.0%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🎯
160-179
$97K vol·-5%·7d
40.0%
chance
Yes 40¢ · No 60¢
🎯
180-199
$60K vol·-1%·7d
4.7%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🎯
140-159
$49K vol·+5%·7d
46.9%
chance
Yes 47¢ · No 53¢
🎯
120-139
$4K vol·+1%·7d
6.5%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 94¢
🎯
<100
$5K vol·-0%·7d
1.0%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🎯
100-119
$3K vol·-2%·7d
1.1%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.