Culture · Ends Dec 31

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

140-159 is the favorite at 71% (down 6.5 points in 24 hours), then 120-139 at 9% and 180-199 at 5%.

Monthly SpaceX launches: past results and how often the favorite won →

What do you think happens?

Only one of these will happen. YES = it happens · NO = it doesn't.

140-159▼ 6 today

120-139

180-199

200 or more▲ 2 today

160-179

Show 1 more under 1%

100-119

Your money, explained

Put $10 on “140-159” at 71% → if it happens you get $14.01 (+$4.01). If it doesn't, you lose the $10 — never more. You can sell any time before it ends, at that moment's price.

How it's decided

It's settled by the official result (spacex.com) when the question closes on Dec 31, 2026, US Eastern time. Source ↗

Full rules (source: Polymarket)This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.

$339K traded since it opened · $2K today