All predictions

Tech & AI · Ends Nov 30

On what date will OpenAI release GPT Astra 6.1 or higher?

Each answer is its own question: Yes if OpenAI makes a GPT Astra 6.1+ model available to the general public on that date (ET).

On Polymarket as “GPT Astra 6.1+ released on...?”

What do you think happens?

Only one of these will happen. YES = it happens · NO = it doesn't.

Nov 12▲ 8 today
Nov 26▲ 19 today
No release by Nov 30
Nov 11▲ 2 today
Nov 9
Nov 16
Nov 10▼ 1 today
Nov 14▲ 2 today
Nov 30▲ 2 today
Nov 6▼ 13 today
Nov 7
Nov 15
Show 14 more under 1%
Nov 13
Nov 29
Nov 24
Nov 17
Nov 19
Nov 18
Nov 27▼ 3 today
Nov 20
Nov 23
Nov 22
Nov 28
Nov 8
Nov 25
Nov 21

Your money, explained

Put $10 on “Nov 12” at 27% → if it happens you get $37.17 (+$27.17). If it doesn't, you lose the $10 — never more. You can sell any time before it ends, at that moment's price.

How it's decided

Settled by official OpenAI information, checked against credible reporting, using the ET calendar date the model becomes publicly available.

Full rules (source: Polymarket)This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Astra model (6.1+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

$102K traded since it opened · $27K today

Vectorial Data aggregates publicly available market data. We are not affiliated with any exchange or venue and do not custody funds. All probabilities, prices, funding rates, and resolutions shown are sourced from public on-chain APIs and may be delayed or revised. Markets and tokens shown are speculative — past performance does not predict future results, calibration metrics describe historical accuracy and do not guarantee future calibration. Nothing on this site is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.