Culture · Ends Nov 3

How many times will Elon Musk post on X from Oct 27 to Nov 3, 2026?

Elon Musk's X posts are counted from Oct 27, 12:00 PM ET to Nov 3, 2026, 12:00 PM ET; one range wins.

On Polymarket as “Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026?”

Elon Tweets: past results and how often the favorite won →

What do you think happens?

Only one of these will happen. YES = it happens · NO = it doesn't.

300-319 posts

320-339 posts▲ 2 today

280-299 posts▼ 3 today

260-279 posts▼ 3 today

240-259 posts

340-359 posts

360-379 posts▲ 1 today

220-239 posts

380-399 posts▲ 1 today

200-219 posts▼ 1 today

180-199 posts▼ 1 today

400-419 posts

420-439 posts

160-179 posts

440-459 posts

Show 15 more under 1%

460-479 posts

480-499 posts

140-159 posts

580 or more posts

500-519 posts

120-139 posts

520-539 posts

540-559 posts

80-99 posts

100-119 posts

560-579 posts

60-79 posts

Fewer than 20 posts

20-39 posts

40-59 posts

Your money, explained

Put $10 on “300-319 posts” at 14% → if it happens you get $71.43 (+$61.43). If it doesn't, you lose the $10 — never more. You can sell any time before it ends, at that moment's price.

How it's decided

The Post Counter figure on Polymarket's xtracker site settles it, for the period ending Nov 3, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Source ↗

Full rules (source: Polymarket)This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 27 12:00 PM ET to November 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

$115K traded since it opened · $43K today