Culture · Ends Oct 30

How many times will Elon Musk post on X from Oct 23 to Oct 30, 2026?

Elon Musk's number of X posts from Oct 23, 12:00 PM ET to Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET decides which range wins.

On Polymarket as “Elon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?”

Elon Tweets: past results and how often the favorite won →

What do you think happens?

Only one of these will happen. YES = it happens · NO = it doesn't.

300 to 319 posts▲ 4 today

320 to 339 posts▲ 7 today

280 to 299 posts▼ 1 today

340 to 359 posts▲ 4 today

260 to 279 posts▼ 7 today

360 to 379 posts▲ 3 today

240 to 259 posts▼ 5 today

380 to 399 posts▲ 2 today

400 to 419 posts

220 to 239 posts▼ 4 today

420 to 439 posts

Show 14 more under 1%

200 to 219 posts▼ 2 today

440 to 459 posts

460 to 479 posts

480 to 499 posts

180 to 199 posts

500 to 519 posts

160 to 179 posts

520 to 539 posts

140 to 159 posts

120 to 139 posts

100 to 119 posts

580 or more posts

560 to 579 posts

540 to 559 posts

Your money, explained

Put $10 on “300 to 319 posts” at 19% → if it happens you get $54.05 (+$44.05). If it doesn't, you lose the $10 — never more. You can sell any time before it ends, at that moment's price.

How it's decided

The 'Post Counter' figure on xtracker.polymarket.com at Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET settles it. Source ↗

Full rules (source: Polymarket)This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 23 12:00 PM ET to October 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

$302K traded since it opened · $92K today