All predictions

Culture · Ends Oct 27
How many times will Elon Musk post on X from Oct 20 to Oct 27, 2026?
Elon Musk's number of X posts is counted from Oct 20, 12:00 PM ET to Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET; one range matches.
On Polymarket as “Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?”
Elon Tweets: past results and how often the favorite won →What do you think happens?
Only one of these will happen. YES = it happens · NO = it doesn't.
240-259 posts▲ 3 today
220-239 posts▲ 2 today
260-279 posts
280-299 posts
200-219 posts▼ 2 today
300-319 posts
320-339 posts
180-199 posts▼ 1 today
360-379 posts
340-359 posts▼ 1 today
160-179 posts
380-399 posts
400-419 posts▼ 2 today
140-159 posts
Show 16 more under 1%Hide the ones under 1%
420-439 posts▼ 1 today
440-459 posts▼ 2 today
460-479 posts▼ 1 today
120-139 posts
480-499 posts
540-559 posts
100-119 posts
520-539 posts
500-519 posts
80-99 posts
580 or more posts
560-579 posts
60-79 posts
Under 20 posts
20-39 posts
40-59 posts
Your money, explained
Put $10 on “240-259 posts” at 14% → if it happens you get $71.43 (+$61.43). If it doesn't, you lose the $10 — never more. You can sell any time before it ends, at that moment's price.
How it's decided
The Post Counter figure on Polymarket's xtracker site settles it, covering the period ending Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Source ↗
Full rules (source: Polymarket)This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 20 12:00 PM ET to October 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
$156K traded since it opened · $72K today
