US-Iran ceasefire continues: past results & live odds
US-Iran ceasefire continues is a monthly series of prediction markets listed on Polymarket. This page tracks the event trading now, the results of the last 1 that resolved — with the odds the market gave the winner 24 hours before close — and how often the favorite of that moment actually won.
Trading now
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Yes 95% · No 6% — resolves Nov 4, 2026 · $1.9M traded
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? — October 31 >99%, November 2 97%
Recent results
| Event | Resolved | Winner | Winner's odds 24h before | Favorite 24h before |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? | Aug 30, 2026 | August 22 and August 25 | — | — |
Sources: settlements and events from Polymarket's public Gamma API; odds 24 hours before close (the earlier of the scheduled end and the actual close) from Polymarket's public CLOB price history. A “—” means the price history doesn't prove it, so that event is left out of the favorite count rather than estimated.