Hong Kong Daily Weather: past results & live odds
Hong Kong Daily Weather is a daily series of prediction markets listed on Polymarket. This page tracks the event trading now, the results of the last 10 that resolved — with the odds the market gave the winner 24 hours before close — and how often the favorite of that moment actually won. Over the last 10 resolved events where the price history proves who the favorite was 24 hours before close, the favorite won 4 of 10 (40%), priced at 45% on average.
Trading now
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 9?30°C >99% · 31°C <1% · 29°C <1% — resolves Oct 9, 2026 · $75K traded
- Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 10? — 31°C 93%, 32°C 8%
- Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 11? — 31°C 50%, 30°C 36%
- Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 12? — 34°C or higher 47%, 31°C 37%
Recent results
| Event | Resolved | Winner | Winner's odds 24h before | Favorite 24h before |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 8? | Oct 9, 2026 | 29°C | 44% | 29°C 44% — won |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 7? | Oct 8, 2026 | 28°C | 11% | 30°C 42% — lost |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 6? | Oct 7, 2026 | 28°C | 40% | 28°C 40% — won |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 5? | Oct 6, 2026 | 31°C | 31% | 30°C 40% — lost |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 4? | Oct 5, 2026 | 30°C | 39% | 30°C 39% — won |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 2? | Oct 5, 2026 | 31°C | 32% | 30°C 35% — lost |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 3? | Oct 5, 2026 | 29°C | 13% | 30°C 48% — lost |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 30? | Oct 2, 2026 | 34°C | 21% | 33°C 56% — lost |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 1? | Oct 2, 2026 | 33°C | 65% | 33°C 65% — won |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 29? | Sep 30, 2026 | 33°C | 38% | 32°C 48% — lost |
Sources: settlements and events from Polymarket's public Gamma API; odds 24 hours before close (the earlier of the scheduled end and the actual close) from Polymarket's public CLOB price history. A “—” means the price history doesn't prove it, so that event is left out of the favorite count rather than estimated.