Bank of Mexico Decision: past results & live odds
Bank of Mexico Decision is a yearly series of prediction markets listed on Polymarket. This page tracks the event trading now, the results of the last 7 that resolved — with the odds the market gave the winner 24 hours before close — and how often the favorite of that moment actually won. Over the last 7 resolved events where the price history proves who the favorite was 24 hours before close, the favorite won 7 of 7 (100%), priced at 92% on average.
Trading now
Bank of Mexico Decision in November?No change 74% · 25 bps decrease 25% · 25 bps increase <1% — resolves Nov 5, 2026 · $101K traded
- Bank of Mexico Decision in December? — No change 80%, 25 bps decrease 15%
Recent results
| Event | Resolved | Winner | Winner's odds 24h before | Favorite 24h before |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bank of Mexico Decision in September? | Sep 24, 2026 | No change | 99% | No change 99% — won |
| Bank of Mexico Decision in August? | Aug 6, 2026 | No change | 99% | No change 99% — won |
| Bank of Mexico Decision in June | Jun 25, 2026 | No change | 99% | No change 99% — won |
| Bank of Mexico Decision in May | May 7, 2026 | Decrease | 95% | Decrease 95% — won |
| Bank of Mexico Decision in March? | Mar 26, 2026 | Decrease | 56% | Decrease 56% — won |
| Bank of Mexico decision in February? | Feb 5, 2026 | No change | 99% | No change 99% — won |
| Bank of Mexico decision in December? | Dec 18, 2025 | Decrease | 97% | Decrease 97% — won |
Sources: settlements and events from Polymarket's public Gamma API; odds 24 hours before close (the earlier of the scheduled end and the actual close) from Polymarket's public CLOB price history. A “—” means the price history doesn't prove it, so that event is left out of the favorite count rather than estimated.