Bank of Israel Decision: past results & live odds
Bank of Israel Decision is a yearly series of prediction markets listed on Polymarket. This page tracks the event trading now, the results of the last 6 that resolved — with the odds the market gave the winner 24 hours before close — and how often the favorite of that moment actually won. Over the last 6 resolved events where the price history proves who the favorite was 24 hours before close, the favorite won 4 of 6 (67%), priced at 86% on average.
Trading now
Bank of Israel Decision in October?No Change 92% · Decrease 8% · Increase <1% — resolves Oct 21, 2026 · $103K traded
Recent results
| Event | Resolved | Winner | Winner's odds 24h before | Favorite 24h before |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bank of Israel Decision in September? | Sep 1, 2026 | Decrease | 17% | No Change 85% — lost |
| Bank of Israel decision in August? | Sep 1, 2026 | 25 bps cut | 11% | No Change 90% — lost |
| Bank of Israel Decision in July? | Jul 6, 2026 | Decrease | 97% | Decrease 97% — won |
| Bank of Israel Decision in May? | May 25, 2026 | Decrease | 72% | Decrease 72% — won |
| Bank of Israel Decision in March? | Mar 30, 2026 | No Change | 98% | No Change 98% — won |
| Bank of Israel Decision in February? | Feb 23, 2026 | No Change | 74% | No Change 74% — won |
Sources: settlements and events from Polymarket's public Gamma API; odds 24 hours before close (the earlier of the scheduled end and the actual close) from Polymarket's public CLOB price history. A “—” means the price history doesn't prove it, so that event is left out of the favorite count rather than estimated.