All resolutions
🏛️PoliticsClosed Nov 4, 2025·Volume $143.3M

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

ResolvedYES
7d before87.9%
3d before94.6%
24h before94.8%Brier 0.003
At close92.2%Brier 0.006

Forecast trajectory · last 14 days

YES-token mid price over time. Resolved YES at $1.

85%88%91%95%98%Oct 21Oct 24Oct 27Oct 29Nov 1Nov 4

Lock-in: market crossed ≥80% 14.0d before close.

Resolution rules

The 2025 New York City mayoral election will be held on November 4, 2025, to elect the mayor of New York City. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Calibration · Vectorial Data · Vectorial Data Terminal