⚽SportsClosed Jul 20, 2026·Volume $152.2M
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
ResolvedYES
7d before20.5%
3d before58.4%
24h before59.1%Brier 0.168
At close100.0%Brier 0.000
Forecast trajectory · last 14 days
YES-token mid price over time. Resolved YES at $1.
Lock-in: market crossed ≥80% 2h before close.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.