All resolutions
🏛️PoliticsClosed Dec 8, 2024·Volume $326.5M

Will Nicolae Ciucă win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?

ResolvedNO
7d before0.1%
3d before0.1%
24h before1.1%Brier 0.000
At close0.7%Brier 0.000

Forecast trajectory · last 14 days

YES-token mid price over time. Resolved NO at $0.

0%3%7%10%14%Nov 24Nov 27Nov 30Dec 2Dec 5Dec 8

Lock-in: market crossed ≤20% 14.0d before close.

Resolution rules

Presidential elections will be held in Romania on 24 November 2024. A second round will be held on 8 December 2024 if no candidate receives an absolute majority of the vote. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolae Ciucă wins this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve solely based off the first official announcement of the election results from the Romanian Government, specifically the Permanent Electoral Authority (https://www.roaep.ro/prezentare/).