All resolutions
🏛️PoliticsClosed Nov 5, 2024·Volume $163.8M

Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

ResolvedNO
7d before57.5%
3d before68.8%
24h before73.9%Brier 0.545
At close72.8%Brier 0.530

Forecast trajectory · last 14 days

YES-token mid price over time. Resolved NO at $0.

54%60%66%73%79%Oct 22Oct 25Oct 28Oct 30Nov 2Nov 5

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.

Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? · Calibration · Vectorial Data · Vectorial Data Terminal