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🏛️PoliticsClosed Nov 5, 2024·Volume $119.9M

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

ResolvedYES
7d before42.6%
3d before31.1%
24h before26.3%Brier 0.544
At close27.4%Brier 0.528

Forecast trajectory · last 14 days

YES-token mid price over time. Resolved YES at $1.

21%27%34%40%46%Oct 22Oct 25Oct 28Oct 30Nov 2Nov 5

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote.