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Politics · 5 markets

Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by October 30?

Vol total$450
Vol 24h$450
Liquidity$582
Resolves51d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first5 questions

Will US crude oil reserves fall to 260M by October 30, 2026?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 11, 2026.

Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 11, 2026.

Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by October 30, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 11, 2026.

Will US crude oil reserves fall to 240M by October 30, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 11, 2026.

Will US crude oil reserves fall to 250M by October 30, 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 11, 2026.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. Energy Information Administration publishes a weekly figure for U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve less than or equal to the specified value after market creation for any week ending on or before October 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before October 30, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached. If data has not been released for the final week ending on October 30, 2026, by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W. Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.

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