All predictions

Politics · Ends Dec 31

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

Most likely: December 31 at 9% (up 6.1 points in 24 hours).

What do you think?

Yes = it happens · No = it doesn't

9%chance of Yes, according to the market▲ 6 today

Your money, explained

Put $10 on Yes at 9% → if it happens you get $106.38 (+$96.38). If it doesn't, you lose the $10 — never more. You can sell any time before it ends, at that moment's price.

How it's decided

It's settled by the official result when the question closes on Dec 31, 2026, US Eastern time.

Full rules (source: Polymarket)This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

$629K traded since it opened · $2K today

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