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Politics · binary

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

Vol total$172K
Vol 24h$281
Liquidity$18K
Resolves127d

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Prediction

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

Your pick: Yes — each share pays $1 if Yes wins.

Bets from $1 · deposits start at $3.

SideYes
Price$0.0975
Shares (est)51.28
Spend$5.00
Capital back$5.00
Profit if Yes wins+$46.28
If Yes wins pays$51.28
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Price history+1.45% · 1W
6%8%9%10%12%Aug 20Aug 21Aug 22Aug 24Aug 25Aug 26

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally recognizes the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only formal recognition of Somaliland will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge the Republic of Somaliland, or change its diplomatic status with the U.S. but do not formally recognize the country as a sovereign state will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.