Politics · binary

Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?

The market prices “Yes” at 4% (+0.4 pts in 24h). $153K traded in total, $2K in the last 24 hours. Scheduled to resolve Jan 1, 2027.

Vol total$153K

Vol 24h$2K

Liquidity$72K

Resolves83d

Your bet$

Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.

Outcomes · most likely first1 question

Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Resolution rules (source: Polymarket)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.