Economy · 10 markets

Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?

Vol total$52K

Vol 24h$718

Liquidity$878

Resolves119d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯

↓ 5.70%

$7K vol·+4%·7d

15.2%

chance

Yes 15¢ · No 85¢

🎯

↓ 5.90%

$6K vol·+32%·7d

50.5%

chance

Yes 51¢ · No 50¢

🎯

↑ 6.75%

$733 vol·-26%·7d

57.0%

chance

Yes 57¢ · No 43¢

🎯

↓ 6.50%

$165 vol·+25%·7d

69.5%

chance

Yes 70¢ · No 31¢

🎯

↓ 5.50%

$72 vol

9.5%

chance

Yes 10¢ · No 91¢

🎯

↑ 7.00%

$64 vol·+6%·7d

51.5%

chance

Yes 52¢ · No 49¢

🎯

↑ 7.25%

$62 vol·+4%·7d

53.0%

chance

Yes 53¢ · No 47¢

🎯

↑ 7.50%

$0 vol·-26%·7d

16.0%

chance

Yes 16¢ · No 84¢

🎯

↓ 6.25%

$0 vol·+2%·7d

45.5%

chance

Yes 46¢ · No 55¢

🎯

↓ 6.00%

$0 vol·+1%·7d

46.5%

chance

Yes 47¢ · No 54¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms. This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.