Economy · Ends Jan 14

Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?

Most likely: ↑ 7.50% at 66% (down 8.0 points in 24 hours), then ↓ 6.50% at 16% and ↓ 6.25% at 16%.

What do you think happens?

Each line is its own yes-or-no question.

↑ 7.50%▼ 8 today

↓ 6.50%▼ 3 today

↓ 6.25%▲ 7 today

↓ 6.00%

↓ 5.50%

↓ 5.90%

Show 1 more under 1%

↓ 5.70%

Your money, explained

Put $10 on “↑ 7.50%” at 66% → if it happens you get $15.15 (+$5.15). If it doesn't, you lose the $10 — never more. You can sell any time before it ends, at that moment's price.

How it's decided

It's settled by the official result (freddiemac.com) when the question closes on Jan 14, 2027, US Eastern time. Source ↗

Full rules (source: Polymarket)This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms. This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.

$100K traded since it opened · $790 today