Politics · Ends Dec 31

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?

Most likely: December 31 at 11%.

What do you think?

Yes = it happens · No = it doesn't

11%chance of Yes, according to the market

Your money, explained

Put $10 on Yes at 11% → if it happens you get $95.24 (+$85.24). If it doesn't, you lose the $10 — never more. You can sell any time before it ends, at that moment's price.

How it's decided

It's settled by the official result when the question closes on Dec 31, 2026, US Eastern time.

Full rules (source: Polymarket)This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

$487K traded since it opened · $2K today