All events
Politics · 3 markets

Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by...?

Vol total$107K
Vol 24h$1K
Liquidity$12K
Resolves0d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎃
October 31
$90 vol
5.5%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 95¢
🎆
December 31
$0 vol
48.5%
chance
Yes 49¢ · No 52¢
🎯
August 31
$65K vol·-0%·7d
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei was outside Iran at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed. Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran. In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes". If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.