Politics · Ends Dec 31

Will Israel annex any territory by...?

Most likely: June 30, 2027 at 45% (up 31.0 points in 24 hours), then March 31, 2027 at 45% and December 31, 2026 at 4%.

What do you think happens?

Each line is its own yes-or-no question.

June 30, 2027▲ 31 today

March 31, 2027▲ 34 today

December 31, 2026

Your money, explained

Put $10 on “June 30, 2027” at 45% → if it happens you get $22.47 (+$12.47). If it doesn't, you lose the $10 — never more. You can sell any time before it ends, at that moment's price.

How it's decided

It's settled by the official result. Each answer closes on its own date, shown when you pick it.

Full rules (source: Polymarket)This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between July 22 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

$539K traded since it opened · $2K today