Politics · Ends Jun 30

Will Ilhan Omar be deported by...?

Most likely: June 30, 2027 at 8% (down 2.5 points in 24 hours), then December 31, 2026 at 2%.

What do you think happens?

Each line is its own yes-or-no question.

June 30, 2027▼ 3 today

December 31, 2026

Your money, explained

Put $10 on “June 30, 2027” at 8% → if it happens you get $133.33 (+$123.33). If it doesn't, you lose the $10 — never more. You can sell any time before it ends, at that moment's price.

How it's decided

It's settled by the official result. Each answer closes on its own date, shown when you pick it.

Full rules (source: Polymarket)This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rep. Ilhan Omar is officially deported from the United States by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Omar from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count. A removal order that has not been implemented will not be sufficient to resolve this market. The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.

$131K traded since it opened · $824 today