Politics · 8 markets
Will gas hit __ by end of September?
Vol total$243
Vol 24h$242
Liquidity$10K
Resolves28d
Outcomes · most likely first
🏈
↑ $4.20
$243 vol·+25%·7d
76.0%
chance
Yes 76¢ · No 24¢
📈
↑ $4.50
$0 vol·-9%·7d
32.0%
chance
Yes 32¢ · No 68¢
🏈
↑ $4.40
$0 vol·-9%·7d
40.0%
chance
Yes 40¢ · No 60¢
🏈
↑ $4.30
$0 vol·-7%·7d
42.0%
chance
Yes 42¢ · No 58¢
🏈
↓ $4.00
$0 vol·-3%·7d
49.5%
chance
Yes 50¢ · No 51¢
🏈
↓ $3.90
$0 vol·-32%·7d
14.0%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 86¢
🏈
↓ $3.70
$0 vol·-26%·7d
18.0%
chance
Yes 18¢ · No 82¢
🏈
↓ $3.50
$0 vol·-20%·7d
16.0%
chance
Yes 16¢ · No 84¢
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price for options marked ↑ (High), or equal to or below the listed price for options marked ↓ (Low). Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.907, this market will use $3.90 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
