Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?most traded
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 1, 2026.
Tech & AI · 5 markets
Will Claude go down on __ days in October?
Vol total$801
Vol 24h$801
Liquidity$1K
Resolves31d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first5 questions
Will Claude go down 14+ times in October?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 1, 2026.
Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 1, 2026.
Will Claude go down 11-13 times in October?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 1, 2026.
Will Claude go down 8-10 times in October?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 1, 2026.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the number of days in October 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime. Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution. A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun. This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).