Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?most traded
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Crypto · binary
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
The market prices “Yes” at 65% (−2.5 pts in 24h). $204K traded in total, $2K in the last 24 hours. Scheduled to resolve Jan 1, 2027, per coingecko.com.
Vol total$204K
Vol 24h$2K
Liquidity$1K
Resolves83d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first1 question
Resolution rules (source: Polymarket)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the public valuation of Anthropic surpasses the market capitalization of Bitcoin (BTC) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For Bitcoin, CoinGecko's data for BTC will be used, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin. If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead. For Anthropic, any public valuation, or private funding round that values the company will be considered. To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by Anthropic or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will CoinGecko and Anthropic's official communications; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.