Politics · binary

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Vol total$317K

Vol 24h$1K

Liquidity$76K

Resolves17d

Your bet$

Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.

Outcomes · most likely first1 question

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Oct 20, 2026.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.