Who will Trump publicly insult by July 31?
Resolved: Tucker Carlson, Joe Biden +5 more · Aug 5, 2026
$3.3M traded over the life of the market. Resolution source: the rules below.
| Outcome | Odds 24h before close | Settled |
|---|---|---|
| Barack Obama | 100% | Won · 100% |
| Joe Biden | 100% | Won · 100% |
| Kaitlan Collins | 100% | Won · 100% |
| Nicolás Maduro | 100% | Won · 100% |
| Jimmy Kimmel | 100% | Won · 100% |
| Marjorie Taylor Greene | 49% | Won · 100% |
| Tucker Carlson | 31% | Won · 100% |
| Emmanuel Macron | 48% | 0% |
| Zohran Mamdani | 43% | 0% |
| Freidrich Merz | 10% | 0% |
| Vladimir Putin | 5% | 0% |
| Kevin Warsh | 3% | 0% |
+15 more outcomes, all settled at 0%.
Resolution rules (source: Polymarket)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.