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Who will Trump publicly insult by April 30?

Resolved: Jerome Powell, Nicolás Maduro +6 more · May 1, 2026

$359K traded over the life of the market. Resolution source: the rules below.

Final odds per outcome
OutcomeOdds 24h before closeSettled
Barack Obama100%Won · 100%
Tucker Carlson100%Won · 100%
Joe Biden100%Won · 100%
Nicolás Maduro100%Won · 100%
Megyn Kelly100%Won · 100%
Alex Jones100%Won · 100%
Jerome Powell100%Won · 100%
Candace Owens100%Won · 100%
Joe Biden100%Won · 100%
Candace Owens100%Won · 100%
Benjamin Netanyahu2%0%
Xi Jinping1%0%

+13 more outcomes, all settled at 0%.

Resolution rules (source: Polymarket)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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