All events
Politics · 11 markets

Who will the Trump admin next nominate as SCOTUS Justice?

Vol total$3K
Vol 24h$161
Liquidity$4K
Resolves880d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
Patrick Bumatay
$881 vol·+0%·7d
10.8%
chance
Yes 11¢ · No 89¢
🎯
Andrew Oldham
$637 vol·-1%·7d
12.0%
chance
Yes 12¢ · No 88¢
🎯
James Ho
$624 vol·+10%·7d
26.5%
chance
Yes 27¢ · No 74¢
🎯
Aileen Cannon
$255 vol·-10%·7d
6.0%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🎯
Amul Thapar
$208 vol·-1%·7d
19.5%
chance
Yes 20¢ · No 81¢
🇺🇸
Ted Cruz
$160 vol·-11%·7d
4.8%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🎯
Gregory Katsas
$127 vol·-10%·7d
7.6%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 92¢
🎯
Mike Lee
$125 vol·+2%·7d
7.7%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 92¢
🎯
John Sauer
$121 vol·-1%·7d
4.0%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🎯
Neomi Rao
$108 vol
8.5%
chance
Yes 9¢ · No 92¢
🎯
Steven Menashi
$105 vol·-2%·7d
9.6%
chance
Yes 10¢ · No 90¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual who is formally nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. In the event that more than one such nomination is submitted to the Senate at the same time, this market shall resolve in favor of the nomination that was announced first or, should such a temporal determination be impossible to make, in last-name alphabetical order. If no individual is nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.