All events
Politics · 18 markets

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Vol total$32.5M
Vol 24h$54K
Liquidity$3.3M
Resolves134d

Outcomes · most likely first

🇮🇱
Benjamin Netanyahu
$3.0M vol·-3%·7d
28.5%
chance
Yes 28¢ · No 72¢
🇮🇱
Naftali Bennett
$2.9M vol
5.5%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 95¢
🇮🇱
Avigdor Lieberman
$2.3M vol·-1%·7d
4.9%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🇮🇱
Gadi Eizenkot
$1.6M vol·+0%·7d
52.8%
chance
Yes 53¢ · No 47¢
🇮🇱
Amir Ohana
$2.5M vol·+0%·7d
0.4%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇮🇱
Yair Golan
$2.3M vol
0.4%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇮🇱
Benny Gantz
$2.1M vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
Gideon Sa’ar
$2.1M vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇮🇱
Yossi Cohen
$2.0M vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇮🇱
Moshe Feiglin
$1.6M vol·+0%·7d
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🇮🇱
Yariv Levin
$1.6M vol
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇮🇱
Yoaz Hendel
$1.5M vol
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇮🇱
Itamar Ben Gvir
$1.5M vol·+1%·7d
1.1%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🇮🇱
Ayelet Shaked
$1.5M vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇮🇱
Nir Barkat
$1.5M vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇮🇱
Yair Lapid
$1.4M vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇮🇱
Israel Katz
$637K vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇮🇱
Gilad Erdan
$504K vol·-0%·7d
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.