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Tech & AI · 10 markets

Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Vol total$472K
Vol 24h$380
Liquidity$130K
Resolves270d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first10 questions

Will Baidu be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jul 1, 2027.

Will BYD be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jul 1, 2027.

Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jul 1, 2027.

Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jul 1, 2027.

Will Tencent be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jul 1, 2027.

Will YMTC be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jul 1, 2027.

Will DJI be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jul 1, 2027.

Will Unitree be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jul 1, 2027.

Will Hesai be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jul 1, 2027.

Will CXMT be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jul 1, 2027.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified company is fully removed from the list entitled “Entities Identified as Chinese Military Companies Operating in the United States in Accordance with Section 1260H of the William M. (Mac) Thornberry National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2021” by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying removal occurs when the specified company named in the list on June 8, 2026 (available here: https://www.war.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/4511232/dow-releases-list-of-chinese-military-companies-in-accordance-with-section-1260/) no longer appears on an updated official Section 1260H list. A qualifying removal must be reflected in a subsequent list published by the U.S. Department of Defense in the Federal Register or on its official website, in an official DoD announcement or Federal Register notice of delisting. Removal of a subsidiary or affiliate entry while the specified company remains listed will not qualify. Removal of a company will qualify even if formerly affiliated subsidiaries remain listed as separate entries. An entity that ceases to appear solely due to renaming, merger with another listed entity, or transfer of the designation to a successor, parent, or affiliate entity will not be considered removed. A removal will qualify regardless of whether it is later retracted or withdrawn. For the purposes of this market, a company’s status will be entirely determined by its presence on the aforementioned list. If the enforcement of its designation is suspended without being removed from the aforementioned list, that will not qualify as a removal. If no qualifying announcement or list republishing occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from the Department of Defense (https://www.defense.gov) (a.k.a. Department of War, https://www.war.gov).

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