Zinedine Zidane wins?most traded
YESZinedine Zidane wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
Sports · 14 markets
Who will attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?
Most likely: Harry Kane at 98% (down 0.2 points in 24 hours), then Rodri at 97% and Lamine Yamal at 95%.
$101K traded · $22K in 24h · $37K liquidity · resolves in 42 days
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Winner14 questions
Vinícius Júnior wins?
YESVinícius Júnior wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
Lionel Messi wins?
YESLionel Messi wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
Sergio Ramos wins?
YESSergio Ramos wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
Cristiano Ronaldo wins?
YESCristiano Ronaldo wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
Rodri wins?
YESRodri wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
Ousmane Dembélé wins?
YESOusmane Dembélé wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
Xavi Hernandez wins?
YESXavi Hernandez wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
Kaka wins?
YESKaka wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
Harry Kane wins?
YESHarry Kane wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
David Beckham wins?
YESDavid Beckham wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
Michael Owen wins?
YESMichael Owen wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
Kylian Mbappé wins?
YESKylian Mbappé wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
Lamine Yamal wins?
YESLamine Yamal wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
Resolution rules (source: Polymarket)
The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to be held in London on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, attending the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.