Culture · 29 markets
Who will attend King Harald V's funeral?
Vol total$1K
Vol 24h$1K
Liquidity$3K
Resolves10d
Outcomes · most likely first
🇩🇪
Friedrich Merz
$101 vol
8.0%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 92¢
🎯
King Charles III
$83 vol
6.0%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🇺🇸
Donald Trump
$74 vol
3.0%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
Mette Frederiksen
$62 vol
59.5%
chance
Yes 60¢ · No 41¢
🇬🇧
Andy Burnham
$61 vol
6.0%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🎯
Volodymyr Zelensky
$61 vol
14.0%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 86¢
🎯
Alar Karis
$60 vol
95.5%
chance
Yes 96¢ · No 5¢
🎯
Frank-Walter Steinmeier
$60 vol
93.5%
chance
Yes 94¢ · No 7¢
🇫🇷
Emmanuel Macron
$40 vol
20.5%
chance
Yes 21¢ · No 80¢
🇪🇺
Ursula von der Leyen
$40 vol
10.0%
chance
Yes 10¢ · No 90¢
🎯
Halla Tómasdóttir
$26 vol
96.5%
chance
Yes 97¢ · No 4¢
🎯
Crown Prince Fumihito
$22 vol
93.5%
chance
Yes 94¢ · No 7¢
🇺🇸
Barack Obama
$22 vol
6.5%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 94¢
🇳🇴
Erling Haaland
$22 vol
10.0%
chance
Yes 10¢ · No 90¢
🎯
King Felipe VI
$22 vol
47.5%
chance
Yes 48¢ · No 53¢
🎯
Queen Camilla
$22 vol
24.0%
chance
Yes 24¢ · No 76¢
🎯
Alexander Stubb
$21 vol
97.5%
chance
Yes 98¢ · No 3¢
🎯
King Frederik X
$20 vol
97.0%
chance
Yes 97¢ · No 3¢
🇳🇱
Mark Rutte
$20 vol
24.0%
chance
Yes 24¢ · No 76¢
🎯
King Willem-Alexander
$0 vol
95.0%
chance
Yes 95¢ · No 5¢
🎯
King Philippe
$0 vol
94.5%
chance
Yes 95¢ · No 6¢
🎯
Princess Beatrix
$0 vol
94.5%
chance
Yes 95¢ · No 6¢
🎯
Edgars Rinkēvičs
$0 vol
94.5%
chance
Yes 95¢ · No 6¢
🎯
Gitanas Nausėda
$0 vol
94.5%
chance
Yes 95¢ · No 6¢
🎯
King Carl XVI Gustaf
$0 vol
94.5%
chance
Yes 95¢ · No 6¢
🎯
Prince Albert II
$0 vol
94.5%
chance
Yes 95¢ · No 6¢
🎯
Prince William
$0 vol
50.0%
chance
Yes 50¢ · No 50¢
🇺🇸
JD Vance
$0 vol
50.0%
chance
Yes 50¢ · No 50¢
🎯
Jonas Gahr Støre
$380 vol
99.0%
chance
Yes 99¢ · No 1¢
Resolution rules
The state funeral of King Harald V of Norway has been scheduled for 1:00 PM CEST on September 9, 2026, at Oslo Cathedral in Oslo, Norway. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends King Harald V's funeral. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the funeral is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.