Politics · 18 markets

Which Senate races will be within 5%?

Vol total$84K

Vol 24h$2K

Liquidity$302K

Resolves32d

Your bet$

Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.

Outcomes · most likely first18 questions

🤠Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Nov 4, 2026.

Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Nov 4, 2026.

🌽Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Nov 4, 2026.

Will the North Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Nov 4, 2026.

🌵Will the New Mexico 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Nov 4, 2026.

🎯Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Nov 4, 2026.

🎯Will the Florida Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Nov 4, 2026.

🇺🇸Will the Nebraska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Nov 4, 2026.

🏭Will the Michigan 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Nov 4, 2026.

🐻Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Nov 4, 2026.

🌾Will the Montana 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Nov 4, 2026.

🇬🇪Will the Georgia 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Nov 4, 2026.

🏔️Will the New Hampshire 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Nov 4, 2026.

Will the Colorado 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Nov 4, 2026.

🇺🇸Will the Virginia 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Nov 4, 2026.

🦞Will the Maine 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Nov 4, 2026.

🇺🇸Will the Kansas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Nov 4, 2026.

🇺🇸Will the South Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Nov 4, 2026.

Resolution rules

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.