All events
Politics · 14 markets

Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?

Vol total$28K
Vol 24h$842
Liquidity$103K
Resolves70d

Outcomes · most likely first

🇮🇱
Likud
$14K vol·-35%·7d
34.0%
chance
Yes 34¢ · No 66¢
🎯
No Endorsement
$5K vol·+28%·7d
58.5%
chance
Yes 59¢ · No 42¢
🎯
Yashar
$1K vol·+3%·7d
4.5%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 96¢
🎯
Together
$918 vol·+2%·7d
3.5%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
Blue and White
$1K vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
UTJ
$1K vol·-0%·7d
0.2%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇮🇱
Otzma Yehudit
$875 vol·-0%·7d
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢
🎯
Religious Zionism
$766 vol·-0%·7d
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢
🇮🇱
Shas
$579 vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
Yisrael Beiteinu
$451 vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
New Hope
$450 vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
Noam
$446 vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
Democrats
$446 vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
Hadash–Ta'al
$371 vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel by October 27, 2026. This market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election. In the event that Donald Trump endorses a candidate to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve in favor of the party that the individual represents as of the time of the endorsement or, if such individual does not represent a party, to the next party that the individual unambiguously represents. In the event that Donald Trump issues a qualifying endorsement of more than one candidate or party, it will be considered an endorsement of only either the party who was first endorsed or, should such a temporal determination not be possible, in alphabetical order of the endorsed parties. Statements that are clearly sarcastic, jokes, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support shall not be considered relevant for purposes of this market. If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the earliest of either December 31, 2026, or the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No Endorsement". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.