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Politics · 6 markets

Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?

Vol total$40K
Vol 24h$1K
Liquidity$46K
Resolves452d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first6 questions

Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result.

Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2028.

Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2028.

Will the Save Romania Union (USR) be included in the next Romanian government?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2028.

Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result.

Will S.O.S. Romania (SOS) be included in the next Romanian government?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result.

Resolution rules

The sitting government of Romania was ousted through a vote of no-confidence on May 5, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the next Romanian governing coalition formed after market creation. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first new Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the composition of the next governing coalition is not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Romania.

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