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Other · 9 markets

Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

Vol total$5K
Vol 24h$5K
Liquidity$45K
Resolves165d

Outcomes · most likely first

🇸🇪
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
$2K vol
90.5%
chance
Yes 91¢ · No 10¢
🇸🇪
Sweden Democrats (SD)
$807 vol
7.5%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 93¢
🇸🇪
Liberals (L)
$648 vol
14.5%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 86¢
🇸🇪
Christian Democrats (KD)
$628 vol
64.5%
chance
Yes 65¢ · No 36¢
🇸🇪
Centre Party (C)
$390 vol
45.0%
chance
Yes 45¢ · No 55¢
🇸🇪
Left Party (V)
$191 vol
43.5%
chance
Yes 44¢ · No 56¢
🇸🇪
Green Party (MP)
$140 vol
56.0%
chance
Yes 56¢ · No 44¢
🇸🇪
Moderate Party (M)
$43 vol
22.5%
chance
Yes 23¢ · No 78¢
🇸🇪
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
$26 vol
3.5%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 97¢

Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.