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Politics · 8 markets

Which parties will be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?

Vol total$18K
Vol 24h$386
Liquidity$57K
Resolves0d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first8 questions

Will SPD be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 21, 2026.

Will Linke be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 21, 2026.

Will AfD be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 21, 2026.

Will Grüne be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 21, 2026.

Will CDU be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 21, 2026.

Will FW be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 21, 2026.

Will BSW be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 21, 2026.

Will FDP be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Sep 21, 2026.

Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government formed after the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the composition of the first Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office. The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Landtag elects the Minister-President. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Minister, including the Minister-President. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the State Government of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern and the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern.

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