All events
Politics · 8 markets

Which parties will be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?

Vol total$1K
Vol 24h$1K
Liquidity$44K
Resolves134d

Outcomes · most likely first

🇩🇪
SPD
$402 vol
88.5%
chance
Yes 89¢ · No 12¢
🇩🇪
AfD
$279 vol
6.0%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🇩🇪
FDP
$200 vol
5.7%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🟡
FW
$132 vol
4.5%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🔴
Linke
$102 vol
62.5%
chance
Yes 63¢ · No 38¢
🇩🇪
CDU
$21 vol
38.5%
chance
Yes 39¢ · No 62¢
🟢
Grüne
$21 vol
34.5%
chance
Yes 35¢ · No 66¢
🇩🇪
BSW
$0 vol
9.5%
chance
Yes 10¢ · No 91¢

Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government formed after the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the composition of the first Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office. The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Landtag elects the Minister-President. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Minister, including the Minister-President. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the State Government of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern and the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern.