Culture · Ends Jan 1

Which KPop groups will release songs in 2026?

Most likely: Twice at 78% (up 42.0 points in 24 hours), then NewJeans at 46%.

What do you think happens?

Each line is its own yes-or-no question.

Twice▲ 42 today

NewJeans

Your money, explained

Put $10 on “Twice” at 78% → if it happens you get $12.78 (+$2.78). If it doesn't, you lose the $10 — never more. You can sell any time before it ends, at that moment's price.

How it's decided

It's settled by the official result when the question closes on Jan 1, 2027, US Eastern time.

Full rules (source: Polymarket)This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.

$126K traded since it opened · $346 today