Culture · 12 markets

Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

Vol total$41K

Vol 24h$378

Liquidity$11K

Resolves89d

Your bet$

Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.

Outcomes · most likely first12 questions

Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will China have an Ebola case in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Canada have an Ebola case in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Rwanda have an Ebola case in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will India have an Ebola case in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Ethiopia have an Ebola case in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Kenya have an Ebola case in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Burundi have an Ebola case in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Somalia have an Ebola case in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Nigeria have an Ebola case in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.