Culture · 12 markets
Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
Vol total$33K
Vol 24h$347
Liquidity$6K
Resolves134d
Outcomes · most likely first
🇨🇩
Republic of the Congo
$12K vol·+5%·7d
23.5%
chance
Yes 24¢ · No 77¢
🇺🇸
United States
$10K vol·-1%·7d
20.0%
chance
Yes 20¢ · No 80¢
🇨🇳
China
$3K vol·-4%·7d
17.5%
chance
Yes 18¢ · No 83¢
🇷🇼
Rwanda
$2K vol·-3%·7d
27.5%
chance
Yes 28¢ · No 73¢
🇸🇸
South Sudan
$2K vol·-2%·7d
67.0%
chance
Yes 67¢ · No 33¢
🇨🇦
Canada
$1K vol·-2%·7d
26.0%
chance
Yes 26¢ · No 74¢
🇮🇳
India
$732 vol·-8%·7d
14.0%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 86¢
🇧🇮
Burundi
$200 vol·+7%·7d
32.5%
chance
Yes 33¢ · No 68¢
🇰🇪
Kenya
$195 vol·+2%·7d
52.0%
chance
Yes 52¢ · No 48¢
🇸🇴
Somalia
$71 vol·+5%·7d
35.0%
chance
Yes 35¢ · No 65¢
🇪🇹
Ethiopia
$65 vol·-4%·7d
45.0%
chance
Yes 45¢ · No 55¢
🇳🇬
Nigeria
$25 vol·-1%·7d
20.5%
chance
Yes 21¢ · No 80¢
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.