All events
Tech & AI · 17 markets

Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?

Vol total$10K
Vol 24h$7K
Liquidity$7K
Resolves74d

Outcomes · most likely first

🔍
Google
$6K vol
65.5%
chance
Yes 66¢ · No 35¢
📱
ByteDance
$1K vol
5.5%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 95¢
🎞️
KlingAI
$373 vol
5.0%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
👥
Meta
$237 vol
4.0%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🇨🇳
Tencent
$231 vol
4.5%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
Pika
$214 vol
3.1%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🚀
SpaceXAI
$166 vol
10.0%
chance
Yes 10¢ · No 90¢
🌌
Pixverse
$166 vol
5.3%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🇨🇳
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
$164 vol
11.8%
chance
Yes 12¢ · No 88¢
Pruna
$146 vol
4.0%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🤖
Luma AI
$238 vol
0.6%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🎥
Genmo AI
$188 vol
0.7%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🇨🇳
MiniMax
$186 vol
0.7%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🎬
Lightricks
$182 vol
0.7%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🧠
OpenAI
$180 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎨
Kandinsky
$175 vol
1.9%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🛫
Runway
$173 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".