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Tech & AI · 18 markets

Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of November?

Vol total$1K
Vol 24h$1K
Liquidity$4K
Resolves74d

Outcomes · most likely first

📱
ByteDance
$71 vol
47.5%
chance
Yes 48¢ · No 53¢
🔵
Google
$71 vol
7.5%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 93¢
👁️
Meta
$71 vol
20.5%
chance
Yes 21¢ · No 80¢
🧠
OpenAI
$71 vol
22.0%
chance
Yes 22¢ · No 78¢
🎨
Kandinsky
$71 vol
22.0%
chance
Yes 22¢ · No 78¢
🎬
Lightricks
$71 vol
21.0%
chance
Yes 21¢ · No 79¢
🇨🇳
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
$57 vol
12.3%
chance
Yes 12¢ · No 88¢
🛫
Runway
$57 vol
19.2%
chance
Yes 19¢ · No 81¢
Pruna
$57 vol
21.0%
chance
Yes 21¢ · No 79¢
🇨🇳
MiniMax
$57 vol
12.3%
chance
Yes 12¢ · No 88¢
🌲
Black Forest Labs
$57 vol
14.8%
chance
Yes 15¢ · No 85¢
🇨🇳
Tencent
$55 vol
8.0%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 92¢
🎞️
KlingAI
$50 vol
4.5%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 96¢
Pika
$50 vol
9.0%
chance
Yes 9¢ · No 91¢
🎥
Genmo AI
$50 vol
4.5%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 96¢
🌌
Pixverse
$57 vol
1.5%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 99¢
🤖
Luma AI
$57 vol
1.6%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🚀
SpaceXAI
$56 vol
1.5%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Vectorial Data aggregates publicly available market data. We are not affiliated with any exchange or venue and do not custody funds. All probabilities, prices, funding rates, and resolutions shown are sourced from public on-chain APIs and may be delayed or revised. Markets and tokens shown are speculative — past performance does not predict future results, calibration metrics describe historical accuracy and do not guarantee future calibration. Nothing on this site is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.