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Tech & AI · 18 markets

Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of December?

Vol total$604
Vol 24h$585
Liquidity$1K
Resolves91d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first18 questions

Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Meta have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will SpaceXAI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Pika have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Alibaba (including Alibaba-ATH) have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Tencent have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Black Forest Labs have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Luma AI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Pruna have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will KlingAI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Runway have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Pixverse have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will MiniMax have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Kandinsky have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Lightricks have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Genmo AI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

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