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Tech & AI · 15 markets

Which company has the best Image-to-Video AI end of September?

Vol total$12K
Vol 24h$3K
Liquidity$9K
Resolves17d

Outcomes · most likely first

🇨🇳
MiniMax
$5K vol
93.0%
chance
Yes 93¢ · No 7¢
🔵
Google
$3K vol
6.0%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🛫
Runway
$2K vol
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
📱
ByteDance
$413 vol
1.1%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🚀
SpaceXAI
$242 vol
0.7%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🇨🇳
Tencent
$238 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢
🇨🇳
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
$206 vol
0.9%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
Pruna
$205 vol
1.1%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
Pika
$205 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢
🌲
Black Forest Labs
$201 vol
1.1%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🤖
Luma AI
$198 vol
1.1%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🎬
Lightricks
$195 vol
0.4%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌌
Pixverse
$189 vol
1.1%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🎯
Shengshu
$189 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢
🎞️
KlingAI
$169 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Image-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

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