Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?decided · Yes
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 5, 2026.
Politics · 9 markets
Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
Vol total$1.1M
Vol 24h$100K
Liquidity$692K
Resolves2d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first9 questions
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?decided · Yes
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 5, 2026.
Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 5, 2026.
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 5, 2026.
Will Renan Santos qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 5, 2026.
Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 5, 2026.
Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 5, 2026.
Will Ronaldo Caiado qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 5, 2026.
Will Romeu Zema qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 5, 2026.
Resolution rules
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).