All predictions

Tech & AI · Ends Jan 31
When will OpenAI release GPT Astra 6.1 or higher?
Each answer is its own question: Yes if OpenAI makes a GPT Astra 6.1+ model available to the public in that week.
On Polymarket as “When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released?”
What do you think happens?
Only one of these will happen. YES = it happens · NO = it doesn't.
Nov 2–Nov 8, 2026▲ 11 today
Nov 9–Nov 15, 2026▲ 6 today
Nov 16–Nov 22, 2026▼ 5 today
Nov 30–Dec 6, 2026▼ 2 today
Nov 23–Nov 29, 2026
Show 9 more under 1%Hide the ones under 1%
Dec 14–Dec 20, 2026
Dec 7–Dec 13, 2026▼ 3 today
Jan 25–Jan 31, 2027
Dec 21–Dec 27, 2026
No release by Jan 31, 2027▼ 2 today
Jan 11–Jan 17, 2027
Jan 4–Jan 10, 2027
Dec 28, 2026–Jan 3, 2027
Jan 18–Jan 24, 2027
Your money, explained
Put $10 on “Nov 2–Nov 8, 2026” at 58% → if it happens you get $17.24 (+$7.24). If it doesn't, you lose the $10 — never more. You can sell any time before it ends, at that moment's price.
How it's decided
OpenAI's official information settles it, checked against credible reporting, using the calendar date in ET when the model becomes publicly available.
Full rules (source: Polymarket)This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Astra model (6.1+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
$101K traded since it opened · $15K today
