Tech & AI · 16 markets
What will John Ternus say during his Apple Keynote?
Vol total$269
Vol 24h$269
Liquidity$397
Resolves7d
Outcomes · most likely first
❌
-No Qualifying Event-
$260 vol
41.5%
chance
Yes 42¢ · No 59¢
🎯
Apple Intelligence
$9 vol
49.5%
chance
Yes 50¢ · No 51¢
🎯
AI / Artificial Intelligence 10+ times
$0 vol
26.0%
chance
Yes 26¢ · No 74¢
🎯
Million / Billion / Trillion 10+ times
$0 vol
25.0%
chance
Yes 25¢ · No 75¢
🎯
Fold / Folding / Foldable 10+ times
$0 vol
26.0%
chance
Yes 26¢ · No 74¢
🎯
One More Thing 3+ times
$0 vol
25.0%
chance
Yes 25¢ · No 75¢
🎯
Battery Life 3+ times
$0 vol
45.5%
chance
Yes 46¢ · No 55¢
🎯
Steve Jobs
$0 vol
45.5%
chance
Yes 46¢ · No 55¢
🎯
Flexible
$0 vol
45.5%
chance
Yes 46¢ · No 55¢
🎯
Hardware
$0 vol
47.0%
chance
Yes 47¢ · No 53¢
🎯
Chip
$0 vol
47.0%
chance
Yes 47¢ · No 53¢
🎯
Aluminum
$0 vol
46.0%
chance
Yes 46¢ · No 54¢
🍎
Apple TV
$0 vol
46.0%
chance
Yes 46¢ · No 54¢
🎯
AirPods Pro
$0 vol
46.0%
chance
Yes 46¢ · No 54¢
🎯
Afford / Affordable
$0 vol
47.0%
chance
Yes 47¢ · No 53¢
🎯
AirTag
$0 vol
47.0%
chance
Yes 47¢ · No 53¢
Resolution rules
John Ternus is scheduled to participate in Apple's "Surprise and Shine" event on September 9, 2026, 1 PM ET (https://www.apple.com/apple-events/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Ternus says the listed term at any point during the event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If John Ternus does not speak during the event, the event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf