All events
Climate · 20 markets

What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?

Vol total$6K
Vol 24h$469
Liquidity$7K
Resolves104d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
Edouard
$1K vol·+1%·7d
23.5%
chance
Yes 24¢ · No 77¢
🎯
Dolly
$647 vol·+24%·7d
53.5%
chance
Yes 54¢ · No 47¢
🎯
Fay
$623 vol·-1%·7d
12.5%
chance
Yes 13¢ · No 88¢
🎯
Gonzalo
$472 vol·+4%·7d
9.3%
chance
Yes 9¢ · No 91¢
🎯
Isaias
$350 vol·-1%·7d
5.1%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🎯
Sally
$131 vol·+0%·7d
3.0%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
Wilfred
$118 vol·+1%·7d
4.1%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🎯
Marco
$111 vol·+3%·7d
5.1%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🎯
Hanna
$98 vol·-0%·7d
5.1%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🎯
Kyle
$94 vol·+2%·7d
5.0%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🎯
Vicky
$90 vol·+3%·7d
5.1%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🎯
Paulette
$71 vol·+3%·7d
5.3%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🎯
Omar
$67 vol·+2%·7d
5.1%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🌍
Other
$63 vol·+1%·7d
5.0%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🎯
Teddy
$63 vol
5.0%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🎯
Rene
$63 vol·+2%·7d
5.1%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🎯
Leah
$59 vol·+1%·7d
3.4%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
Josephine
$55 vol·+1%·7d
5.0%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🎯
Nana
$51 vol·+1%·7d
5.0%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🎯
Cristobal
$2K vol·-1%·7d
1.6%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the name of the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, then this market resolves to "Other". A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. A tropical storm will not qualify as a hurricane even if it is named. All names are from the NHC list of 2026 Atlantic Names (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtml). This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward.